Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.