MX23RW : Friday, January 24 09:37:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Oct 16, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
Penarol

Danubio
0 - 1
Penarol


Sosa (59'), Romero (80'), Brazionis (85')
Romero (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fernandez (90')
Cabrera (86'), Rodriguez (90+6')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Progreso 0-0 Danubio
Saturday, October 12 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Maldonado
Friday, October 11 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 40.19%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 29.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-2 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.8%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
DanubioDrawPenarol
29.02% (-0.035 -0.04) 30.79% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 40.19% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 39.08% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.79% (-0.124 -0.12)68.21% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.93% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)86.07% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.67% (-0.1 -0.1)41.33% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.15% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)77.85% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.6% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)33.41% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)70.03% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Danubio 29.01%
    Penarol 40.18%
    Draw 30.78%
DanubioDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 12.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 5.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 1.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 29.01%
0-0 @ 13.8% (0.06 0.06)
1-1 @ 13.37%
2-2 @ 3.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 30.78%
0-1 @ 15.13% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 40.18%

How you voted: Danubio vs Penarol

Danubio
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Penarol
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 8
Penarol
2-0
Danubio
Sosa (35'), Gonzalez (90+3')
Ramirez (42')

Fracchia (31'), Romero (54'), Ferreira (69'), Goicoechea (90+5'), Goicoechea (90+1')
Nov 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Danubio
2-1
Penarol
Lewis (27'), Romero (45+1')
Neris (53')
Coelho (25'), Garcia (29'), Gonzalez (50')
Jul 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 5
Danubio
1-0
Penarol
May (61')
Silva (32'), Arguello (51'), Monzon (79')

Aguirregaray (60'), Garcia (76')
Apr 15, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Penarol
2-0
Danubio
Hernandez (37', 73')
Aug 28, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 5
Penarol
1-1
Danubio
Lozano (68')
Ramos (27'), Rak (41'), Cristoforo (59'), Menosse (61'), Milesi (85'), Viatri (90+4')
Menosse (90+2')
May (32')
Silva (19'), Rea (28'), Bortagaray (38'), Vicente (67')
Vicente (70')
rhs 2.0
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