Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 19, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Flamengo0 - 1Penarol
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Vasco
Sunday, September 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
We said: Flamengo 1-0 Penarol
Flamengo have not been at their best in this tournament so far, but they always seem to come through at home, so we project a narrow triumph in the opening leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 71.24%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 10.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.45%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Penarol |
71.24% ( -1.76) | 18.19% ( 0.96) | 10.57% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 44.2% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
