Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14

May 29, 2022 at 9.30pm UK

Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
1 - 1
Maldonado

Labandeira (31')
de los Santos (35'), Elizari (64'), Camargo (89'), Nathael Duarte da Silva (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Borges (84')
Piriz (26'), Varela (33'), Silva (42'), Rodriguez (61')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Deportivo Maldonado.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Defensor Sporting	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
41.89% ( 0.37)	27.44% ( 0.43)	30.67% ( -0.8)

Both teams to score 48.38% (

-1.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.97% (

-1.84)

57.03% (

1.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.08% (

-1.5)

77.92% (

1.5)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.15% (

-0.65)

26.85% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.84% (

-0.87)

62.16% (

0.87)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.14% (

-1.53)

33.86% (

1.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.48% (

-1.69)

70.52% (

1.69)

Score Analysis

Defensor Sporting 41.88%

Deportivo Maldonado 30.67%

Draw 27.44%

Defensor Sporting	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 41.88%	1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.62) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.44%	0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.36% Total : 30.67%