Maldonado

2 - 1

River Plate

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo Maldonado would win this match.