Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
May 18, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Defensor0 - 2Penarol
De Los Santos (28'), Cabrera (71'), Bernal (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Progreso 1-4 Defensor
Sunday, May 12 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, May 12 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
20
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Penarol |
33.14% ( -1.18) | 27.53% ( 0.28) | 39.33% ( 0.9) |
| Both teams to score 48.9% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
