Rampla

2 - 1

Defensor

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.71%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Rampla Juniors win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.