Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Jul 23, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol2 - 1Defensor
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Defensor Sporting.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Penarol 2-1 Boston River
Sunday, July 16 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, July 16 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 2-1 Danubio
Saturday, July 15 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, July 15 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
37
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 35.35%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.22%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Penarol win was 1-0 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Penarol | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
34.98% ( -0.14) | 29.67% ( 0.14) | 35.35% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 43.04% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.97% ( -0.45) | 64.03% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.79% ( -0.32) | 83.21% ( 0.32) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.48% ( -0.33) | 34.52% ( 0.34) |