Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Apr 19, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
Wanderers1 - 2Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wanderers 0-0 Torque
Saturday, April 12 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, April 12 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
9
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 52.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 20.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.33%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Penarol |
20.19% ( -1.9) | 27.18% ( -0.64) | 52.63% ( 2.53) |
| Both teams to score 40.61% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.42% ( 0.38) | 62.58% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.84% ( 0.28) | 82.16% ( -0.27) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.52% ( -1.82) | 46.48% ( 1.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.91% ( -1.44) | 82.09% ( 1.44) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( 1.34) | 24.12% ( -1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.58% ( 1.87) | 58.42% ( -1.87) |
| Score Analysis |
Montevideo Wanderers 20.19%
Penarol 52.62%
Draw 27.17%
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Penarol |
| 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.58) 2-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.38)2-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.43% Total : 20.19% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.43% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 15.94% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 11.33% ( 0.69)1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 5.38% ( 0.52)1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.21)0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.22% Total : 52.62% |
Head to Head
Nov 14, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 12
Wanderers
0-2
Penarol
Rolon (4'), Alejandro Acosta Fernandez (17'), Silveira (17'), Garcia (34'), Lima (90+2')
Garcia (39')
Jun 8, 2024 9.30pm
Gameweek 1
Wanderers
2-0
Penarol
May 11, 2024 10pm
Dec 6, 2023 8pm
Jun 24, 2023 10pm
Form Guide
