Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12

Nov 26, 2023 at 10.30pm UK

Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
3 - 1
Wanderers

Carneiro (1'), Ramirez (25', 42')
Rodriguez (45+1'), Rodriguez (45+2'), Lozano (62')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Ferreira (89')
Fonseca (45+1'), Camargo (75'), Acosta (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Montevideo Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Last Game: Fenix 1-1 Nacional
Monday, November 20 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Wanderers 2-1 River Plate
Monday, November 20 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 55.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
55.07% ( -0.49)	24.83% ( 0.25)	20.1% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 46.48% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.21% (

-0.63)

54.79% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.9% (

-0.53)

76.09% (

0.53)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.15% (

-0.44)

19.85% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.05% (

-0.72)

51.94% (

0.72)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.98% (

-0.1)

42.02% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.55% (

-0.09)

78.45% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Nacional 55.06%

Montevideo Wanderers 20.1%

Draw 24.83%

Nacional	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 13.48% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.61% Total : 55.06%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.7% Total : 24.83%	0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.1% Total : 20.1%