Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Nov 11, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional2 - 2Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 0-3 Nacional
Saturday, November 4 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, November 4 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Liverpool
Sunday, November 5 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, November 5 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Penarol |
32.35% ( -0.61) | 28.04% ( 0.29) | 39.62% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 47.22% ( -0.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.25% ( -1.15) | 58.75% ( 1.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.73% ( -0.9) | 79.28% ( 0.9) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.45% ( -1.02) | 33.55% ( 1.02) |