Torque
0 - 1
Penarol

Alvarez (21'), Orihuela (42')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Alvarez (61')
Bonifazi (8'), Elizalde (55')
Arias (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo City Torque and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
Montevideo City Torque	Draw	Penarol
33.71%	27.84%	38.46%

Both teams to score 48.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.22%

57.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.48%

78.52%

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.88%

32.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.4%

68.59%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.86%

29.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.93%

65.07%

Score Analysis

Montevideo City Torque 33.7%

Penarol 38.45%

Draw 27.83%

Montevideo City Torque	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.7%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.83%	0-1 @ 11.53% 1-2 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 7.12% 1-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.66% Total : 38.45%