Torque
0 - 1
Penarol

Rodriguez (13'), Teuten (18'), Brun (72'), Cartagena (90+2'), Pereyra (90+6')
Coccaro (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nahuelpan (88')
Olivera (36'), Alonso (90+6')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo City Torque and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 43.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.85%) and 1-2 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 1-0 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
Montevideo City Torque	Draw	Penarol
27.5%	28.6%	43.9%

Both teams to score 43.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.78%

62.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.1%

81.9%

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.83%

39.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.11%

75.88%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.77%

28.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.06%

63.94%

Score Analysis

Montevideo City Torque 27.49%

Penarol 43.89%

Draw 28.59%

Montevideo City Torque	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 6.14% 2-0 @ 4.86% 3-1 @ 1.92% 3-0 @ 1.52% 3-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.48% Total : 27.49%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.59%	0-1 @ 13.98% 0-2 @ 8.85% 1-2 @ 8.29% 0-3 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-4 @ 1.18% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.63% Total : 43.89%