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Copa Libertadores
Penarol
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 13, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol
2 - 1
Olimpia

Ramos (45+2'), Carrizo (49')
Arias (59'), Menosse (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gonzalez (80')
Eduardo Recalde (64'), Gonzalez (69'), Ortiz (88'), Gamarra (88')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Penarol and Olimpia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

Last Six:
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Olimpia

Last Six:
    Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
    Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
    Next Game: Olimpia vs. Atletico GO
    Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

    Result
    PenarolDrawOlimpia
    47.75%25.04%27.2%
    Both teams to score 53.64%
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    50.73%49.27%
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    28.68%71.32%
    Penarol Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    79.34%20.66%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    46.76%53.24%
    Olimpia Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    67.6%32.4%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    31.09%68.91%
    Score Analysis
        Penarol 47.75%
        Olimpia 27.2%
        Draw 25.04%
    PenarolDrawOlimpia
    1-0 @ 10.55%
    2-1 @ 9.38%
    2-0 @ 8.32%
    3-1 @ 4.93%
    3-0 @ 4.38%
    3-2 @ 2.78%
    4-1 @ 1.94%
    4-0 @ 1.73%
    4-2 @ 1.1%
    Other @ 2.64%
    Total : 47.75%
    		1-1 @ 11.89%
    0-0 @ 6.69%
    2-2 @ 5.29%
    3-3 @ 1.04%
    Other @ 0.12%
    Total : 25.04%
    		0-1 @ 7.54%
    1-2 @ 6.7%
    0-2 @ 4.25%
    1-3 @ 2.52%
    2-3 @ 1.99%
    0-3 @ 1.6%
    Other @ 2.6%
    Total : 27.2%

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