MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 18:36:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Bala Town logo

Aberystwyth
2 - 3
Bala Town

Lewis (44'), Hogan (88')
Davies (27'), Lewis (45+2'), Thorn (61'), Woollam (78')
Lewis (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ukek (37', 90+5'), Newell (72')
Shannon (90+9')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-1 Newtown
Tuesday, November 14 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Bala Town

All competitions
Last Game: Bala Town 0-0 Pontypridd
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawBala Town
28.13% (0.975 0.98) 24.84% (0.286 0.29) 47.04% (-1.259 -1.26)
Both teams to score 55.01% (-0.182 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.22% (-0.586 -0.59)47.78% (0.586 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.03% (-0.54 -0.54)69.97% (0.542 0.54)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.08% (0.43000000000001 0.43)30.92% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.79% (0.5 0.5)67.21% (-0.499 -0.5)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.64% (-0.76299999999999 -0.76)20.37% (0.764 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.23% (-1.229 -1.23)52.78% (1.23 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 28.13%
    Bala Town 47.04%
    Draw 24.83%
Aberystwyth TownDrawBala Town
1-0 @ 7.39% (0.263 0.26)
2-1 @ 6.9% (0.166 0.17)
2-0 @ 4.34% (0.204 0.2)
3-1 @ 2.7% (0.096 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.7% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 28.13%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.83%
0-1 @ 10.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 7.97% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.96% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-3 @ 4.23% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 47.04%

How you voted: Aberystwyth vs Bala Town

Aberystwyth Town
16.7%
Draw
33.3%
Bala Town
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Bala Town
0-1
Aberystwyth

Peate (56'), Roberts (74')
Roberts (90+1')
Owen (30')
Lewis (33'), Darlington (38'), Davies (82'), Walsh (85'), Owen (89')
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Bala Town
3-0
Aberystwyth
Venables (20'), Peate (34'), Evans (52' og.)
Sep 2, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Aberystwyth
1-4
Bala Town
Evans (85' pen.)
Rimmer (75'), Bradford (88'), Evans (90+2')
Smith (22'), Peate (57'), Rimmer (68' og.), Edwards (76' pen.)
Ramsey (71'), Peate (84')
Venables (2')
Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm
Gameweek 22
Bala Town
2-2
Aberystwyth
Evans (59'), Peate (69')
Smith (65'), Kay (85'), Shannon (90')
Jones (86'), Veale (90+4')
Thorn (72')
Aug 31, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 4
Aberystwyth
0-1
Bala Town

Veale (57'), Phillips (67')
Darlington (27' og.)
Smith (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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