Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Aberystwyth2 - 3Bala Town
Lewis (44'), Hogan (88')
Davies (27'), Lewis (45+2'), Thorn (61'), Woollam (78')
Lewis (77')
Davies (27'), Lewis (45+2'), Thorn (61'), Woollam (78')
Lewis (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ukek (37', 90+5'), Newell (72')
Shannon (90+9')
Shannon (90+9')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Bala Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-1 Newtown
Tuesday, November 14 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, November 14 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 0-0 Pontypridd
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
11
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Bala Town |
28.13% ( 0.98) | 24.84% ( 0.29) | 47.04% ( -1.26) |
Both teams to score 55.01% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.22% ( -0.59) | 47.78% ( 0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.03% ( -0.54) | 69.97% ( 0.54) |
Aberystwyth Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.08% ( 0.43) | 30.92% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.79% ( 0.5) | 67.21% ( -0.5) |
Bala Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.64% ( -0.76) | 20.37% ( 0.76) |