MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 21:55:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 14
Oct 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
0 - 2
Aberystwyth


Jones (58')
Evans (27')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Taylor (14'), Thorn (28' pen.)
Owen (41'), Thorn (71'), H (90+3')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 3-2 Pen-y-Bont
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-0 Aberystwyth
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 64.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 15.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawAberystwyth Town
64.6% (0.437 0.44) 20.34% (-0.099 -0.1) 15.06% (-0.337 -0.34)
Both teams to score 50.48% (-0.495 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (-0.236 -0.24)44.4% (0.239 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (-0.231 -0.23)66.77% (0.232 0.23)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.01% (0.055000000000007 0.06)12.99% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.49% (0.112 0.11)39.51% (-0.111 -0.11)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.02% (-0.605 -0.61)41.98% (0.60599999999999 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.58% (-0.528 -0.53)78.42% (0.529 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 64.59%
    Aberystwyth Town 15.06%
    Draw 20.34%
Pen-y-BontDrawAberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 11.35% (0.16 0.16)
1-0 @ 11.13% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.73% (0.127 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.94% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.42% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.61% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 64.59%
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 20.34%
0-1 @ 4.73% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.19% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.06% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 15.06%

Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Aberystwyth
1-2
Pen-y-Bont
Thorn (90+3')
Owen (47')
Reynolds (48', 59')
Kircough (83'), Evans (90+2')
Jan 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Aberystwyth
0-3
Pen-y-Bont
Reffell (24'), Georgievsky (38'), Rimmer (64' og.)
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Pen-y-Bont
3-1
Aberystwyth
Borge (26'), Wood (39' pen.), Owen (83')
Flint (34' pen.)
Jan 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Pen-y-Bont
4-0
Aberystwyth
Ahmun (8', 15', 20'), Wood (77')
Evans (60')

Owen (52'), Rimmer (90')
Darlington (60')
Oct 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 10
Aberystwyth
0-3
Pen-y-Bont

Jones (29'), Jenkins (90+1')
Waite (16', 49'), Watts (34')
Jefferies (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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