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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Nov 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Newtown logo

Aberystwyth
0 - 1
Newtown


Davies (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jones (80')
Wycherley (77')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 0-1 Aberystwyth
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 0-2 New Saints
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
29.71% (-0.848 -0.85) 24.2% (-0.127 -0.13) 46.09% (0.97300000000001 0.97)
Both teams to score 58.23% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.96% (0.144 0.14)44.03% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.58% (0.141 0.14)66.42% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.11% (-0.48999999999999 -0.49)27.88% (0.49 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.5% (-0.633 -0.63)63.49% (0.631 0.63)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (0.468 0.47)19.26% (-0.469 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02% (0.766 0.77)50.98% (-0.767 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 29.71%
    Newtown AFC 46.09%
    Draw 24.19%
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 7.21% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 6.86% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 29.71%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 9.3% (0.086 0.09)
0-1 @ 8.85% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.166 0.17)
1-3 @ 5.11% (0.122 0.12)
0-3 @ 4% (0.148 0.15)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.1% (0.08 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.65% (0.084 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 46.09%

How you voted: Aberystwyth vs Newtown

Aberystwyth Town
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Newtown AFC
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Newtown
0-0
Aberystwyth
Ismail (33'), Sears (83'), Evans (90+3')
Walsh (90+3'), Walsh (90+5')
Dec 30, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Newtown
6-1
Aberystwyth
Flint (14' og.), Williams (51' pen.), Aris (54', 63'), Rushton (56', 73')
Evans (80')
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Aberystwyth
1-2
Newtown
Evans (28')
Mills-Evans (30', 43')
Dec 10, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 16
Aberystwyth
2-4
Newtown
Phillips (51'), Davies (89')
Veale (22'), Jenkins (38')
Rushton (4', 18', 68'), Davies (76')
(77')
Sep 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Newtown
1-2
Aberystwyth
Roberts (50')
Mills-Evans (76'), Arsan (76'), Roberts (84')
Veale (36'), Evans (86')
Rimmer (5'), Phillips (41'), Evans (76'), Jones (77'), Davies (86')
rhs 2.0
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