Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Newtown AFC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barry 0-1 Aberystwyth
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-2 New Saints
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
29.71% ( -0.85) | 24.2% ( -0.13) | 46.09% ( 0.97) |
Both teams to score 58.23% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.96% ( 0.14) | 44.03% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.58% ( 0.14) | 66.42% ( -0.14) |
Aberystwyth Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.11% ( -0.49) | 27.88% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.5% ( -0.63) | 63.49% ( 0.63) |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.74% ( 0.47) | 19.26% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.02% ( 0.77) | 50.98% ( -0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Aberystwyth Town 29.71%
Newtown AFC 46.09%
Draw 24.19%
Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
2-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.71% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 4% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.19% Total : 46.09% |
How you voted: Aberystwyth vs Newtown
Aberystwyth Town
14.3%Draw
14.3%Newtown AFC
71.4%7
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Newtown
6-1
Aberystwyth
Flint (14' og.), Williams (51' pen.), Aris (54', 63'), Rushton (56', 73')
Evans (80')
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Dec 10, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 16
Aberystwyth
2-4
Newtown
Phillips (51'), Davies (89')
Veale (22'), Jenkins (38')
Veale (22'), Jenkins (38')
Rushton (4', 18', 68'), Davies (76')
(77')
(77')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 37 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 36 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 24 |
7 | Bala TownBala Town | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 19 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 14 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 11 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 10 |
> Welsh Premier League Full Table |
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