MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 19:49:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Nov 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Newtown logo

Aberystwyth
0 - 1
Newtown


Davies (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jones (80')
Wycherley (77')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barry 0-1 Aberystwyth
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-2 New Saints
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
29.71% (-0.848 -0.85) 24.2% (-0.127 -0.13) 46.09% (0.97300000000001 0.97)
Both teams to score 58.23% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.96% (0.144 0.14)44.03% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.58% (0.141 0.14)66.42% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.11% (-0.48999999999999 -0.49)27.88% (0.49 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.5% (-0.633 -0.63)63.49% (0.631 0.63)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (0.468 0.47)19.26% (-0.469 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02% (0.766 0.77)50.98% (-0.767 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 29.71%
    Newtown AFC 46.09%
    Draw 24.19%
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 7.21% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 6.86% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 29.71%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 9.3% (0.086 0.09)
0-1 @ 8.85% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.166 0.17)
1-3 @ 5.11% (0.122 0.12)
0-3 @ 4% (0.148 0.15)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.1% (0.08 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.65% (0.084 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 46.09%

How you voted: Aberystwyth vs Newtown

Aberystwyth Town
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Newtown AFC
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Newtown
0-0
Aberystwyth
Ismail (33'), Sears (83'), Evans (90+3')
Walsh (90+3'), Walsh (90+5')
Dec 30, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Newtown
6-1
Aberystwyth
Flint (14' og.), Williams (51' pen.), Aris (54', 63'), Rushton (56', 73')
Evans (80')
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Aberystwyth
1-2
Newtown
Evans (28')
Mills-Evans (30', 43')
Dec 10, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 16
Aberystwyth
2-4
Newtown
Phillips (51'), Davies (89')
Veale (22'), Jenkins (38')
Rushton (4', 18', 68'), Davies (76')
(77')
Sep 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Newtown
1-2
Aberystwyth
Roberts (50')
Mills-Evans (76'), Arsan (76'), Roberts (84')
Veale (36'), Evans (86')
Rimmer (5'), Phillips (41'), Evans (76'), Jones (77'), Davies (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!