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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
3 - 0
Druids

Thomas (60'), Hughes (77'), Dafydd (90')
Edwards (30'), Simpson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Buckley (2'), Lockett (76'), Edge (80')
Buckley (75')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Druids.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Druids had a probability of 16.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Druids win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawDruids
67.32%16.61%16.07%
Both teams to score 67.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.04%23.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.45%43.55%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.29%6.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.17%24.83%
Druids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42%27.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.9%63.11%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 67.32%
    Druids 16.07%
    Draw 16.61%
Caernarfon TownDrawDruids
2-1 @ 8.7%
3-1 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 6.76%
3-0 @ 6.09%
4-1 @ 5.3%
3-2 @ 5.05%
1-0 @ 5%
4-0 @ 4.11%
4-2 @ 3.41%
5-1 @ 2.86%
5-0 @ 2.22%
5-2 @ 1.84%
4-3 @ 1.46%
6-1 @ 1.29%
6-0 @ 1%
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 67.32%
1-1 @ 6.44%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 2.17%
0-0 @ 1.85%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 16.61%
1-2 @ 4.15%
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-1 @ 2.38%
1-3 @ 1.78%
0-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 16.07%

Head to Head
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Druids
1-2
Caernarfon
Simpson (71')
Edge (21'), Mooney (45+2'), Ruberto (75'), Flint (81'), Cartwright (90+2')
Jones (32'), Hayes (40')
Williams (14'), Jones (52'), (74'), Williams (75')
Oct 9, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Caernarfon
1-2
Druids
Mendes (64')
Thomas (20'), (42'), Anderson (48'), (60'), (90+6')
Cartwright (4'), Darlington (18')
(45+3'), Simpson (57'), (90+3')
Oct 18, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Druids
3-1
Caernarfon
Mudimu (52' pen.), Davies (63', 69')
Ofori (43'), Ruberto (53'), Ashton (61'), Pritchard (76')
Breese (30')
Crowther (42'), Edwards (51'), Edwards (55'), Smith (85')
Aug 26, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
1-1
Druids
Thomas (7')
Thomas (37'), Pearson (63')
Kershaw (49')
Cartwright (53'), Kershaw (65'), Peate (80')
Sep 28, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Druids
1-1
Caernarfon
Ashton (28')
Thompson (10'), Simpson (45'), Mudimu (45'), Piskorski (45')
Brookwell (59')
Edwards (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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