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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
3 - 0
Druids

Thomas (60'), Hughes (77'), Dafydd (90')
Edwards (30'), Simpson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Buckley (2'), Lockett (76'), Edge (80')
Buckley (75')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Druids.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Druids had a probability of 16.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Druids win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawDruids
67.32%16.61%16.07%
Both teams to score 67.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.04%23.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.45%43.55%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.29%6.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.17%24.83%
Druids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42%27.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.9%63.11%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 67.32%
    Druids 16.07%
    Draw 16.61%
Caernarfon TownDrawDruids
2-1 @ 8.7%
3-1 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 6.76%
3-0 @ 6.09%
4-1 @ 5.3%
3-2 @ 5.05%
1-0 @ 5%
4-0 @ 4.11%
4-2 @ 3.41%
5-1 @ 2.86%
5-0 @ 2.22%
5-2 @ 1.84%
4-3 @ 1.46%
6-1 @ 1.29%
6-0 @ 1%
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 67.32%
1-1 @ 6.44%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 2.17%
0-0 @ 1.85%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 16.61%
1-2 @ 4.15%
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-1 @ 2.38%
1-3 @ 1.78%
0-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 16.07%

Head to Head
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Druids
1-2
Caernarfon
Simpson (71')
Edge (21'), Mooney (45+2'), Ruberto (75'), Flint (81'), Cartwright (90+2')
Jones (32'), Hayes (40')
Williams (14'), Jones (52'), (74'), Williams (75')
Oct 9, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Caernarfon
1-2
Druids
Mendes (64')
Thomas (20'), (42'), Anderson (48'), (60'), (90+6')
Cartwright (4'), Darlington (18')
(45+3'), Simpson (57'), (90+3')
Oct 18, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Druids
3-1
Caernarfon
Mudimu (52' pen.), Davies (63', 69')
Ofori (43'), Ruberto (53'), Ashton (61'), Pritchard (76')
Breese (30')
Crowther (42'), Edwards (51'), Edwards (55'), Smith (85')
Aug 26, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
1-1
Druids
Thomas (7')
Thomas (37'), Pearson (63')
Kershaw (49')
Cartwright (53'), Kershaw (65'), Peate (80')
Sep 28, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Druids
1-1
Caernarfon
Ashton (28')
Thompson (10'), Simpson (45'), Mudimu (45'), Piskorski (45')
Brookwell (59')
Edwards (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510


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