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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Newtown logo

Caernarfon
0 - 2
Newtown


Edwards (24'), (82'), Jones (84')
Evans (34')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Evans (52'), Williams (85')
(24')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Newtown AFC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 51.24%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawNewtown AFC
26.12%22.64%51.24%
Both teams to score 60.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.61%39.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.27%61.73%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97%28.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.31%63.69%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47%15.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.54%44.47%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 26.12%
    Newtown AFC 51.24%
    Draw 22.64%
Caernarfon TownDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 6.56%
1-0 @ 5.54%
2-0 @ 3.52%
3-1 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.59%
3-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 26.12%
1-1 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 4.36%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 9.6%
0-1 @ 8.11%
0-2 @ 7.55%
1-3 @ 5.96%
0-3 @ 4.69%
2-3 @ 3.79%
1-4 @ 2.78%
0-4 @ 2.18%
2-4 @ 1.76%
1-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 51.24%

Head to Head
May 29, 2021 12pm
Caernarfon
3-5
Newtown
Kenny (18'), Thomas (59', 73')
Kenny (9'), Cleworth (76'), (84')
Rushton (39' pen.), Mwandwe (44'), Davies (76', 80', 82')
Mills-Evans (45+5'), Williams (90')
Dec 18, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Caernarfon
1-1
Newtown
Bradley (34')
Williams (13'), Mendes (59'), Hayes (77'), Bradley (90+4')
Breese (84')
O'Neill (31')
Sep 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Newtown
2-3
Caernarfon
Davies (30', 51')
Rushton (16'), Edwards (39'), Phillips (45+2')
Mendes (45+3'), Bradley (59'), Edwards (79')
Thomas (66'), Brookwell (70'), Williams (89')
Apr 17, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Newtown
P-P
Caernarfon
Mar 6, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
3-1
Newtown
Evans (58', 74'), Craig (84')
(39')
Harry (26')
(38'), (70'), (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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