Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
