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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Mar 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
2 - 0
Connah's Quay

Ebbe (45+2'), Shannon (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Bala Town 11-0 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Connah's Quay Nomads

Last Six:
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 20.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
58.09%21.74%20.16%
Both teams to score 56.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.98%42.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.57%64.43%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.8%14.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.09%41.91%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.39%34.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.67%71.33%
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 58.09%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 20.16%
    Draw 21.74%
Bala TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.59%
2-0 @ 9.36%
3-1 @ 6.47%
3-0 @ 6.09%
3-2 @ 3.43%
4-1 @ 3.16%
4-0 @ 2.97%
4-2 @ 1.67%
5-1 @ 1.23%
5-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 58.09%
1-1 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 5.27%
0-0 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.74%
1-2 @ 5.4%
0-1 @ 5.21%
0-2 @ 2.77%
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 20.16%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2021 7.45pm
Bala Town
0-4
Connah's Quay

Ramsey (45'), (63'), Shannon (65')
Venables (62'), Smith (75')
Morris (3' pen., 59'), Curran (24'), Harrington (49')
Eardley (11')
Sep 18, 2021 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
0-1
Bala Town

Moore (82'), Edwards (90+4')
Horan (27')
Edwards (29')
Apr 28, 2021 7.45pm
Bala Town
2-1
Connah's Quay
Horan (18' og.), Jones (72')
Shannon (32'), Smith (54'), Ramsey (78'), Kay (88'), Smith (90+3')
Peate (78')
Morris (80' pen.)
Poole (75')
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
2-0
Bala Town
Poole (86'), Horan (89')
Hunt (11'), Disney (56'), Morris (68'), Edwards (73')

Correia (27'), (82')
Mar 16, 2021 7.45pm
Bala Town
1-3
Connah's Quay
Correia (1')
Spittle (34'), Smith (65'), Correia (76')
Spittle (90')
Horan (4'), Morris (67' pen.), Curran (85')
Poole (27'), Holmes (70'), Harrison (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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