Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Park Hall Stadium
New Saints2 - 1Connah's Quay
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Connah's Quay Nomads.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New Saints 1-0 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Haverfordwest County | 2 | 1 | 4 |
4 | The New Saints | 2 | 1 | 4 |
5 | Caernarfon Town | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-0 Airbus UK
Friday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Pen-y-Bont | 2 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Connah's Quay Nomads | 2 | -1 | 3 |
8 | Aberystwyth Town | 2 | -3 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
Result | ||
The New Saints | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
49.39% ( 0.52) | 26.64% ( 0.74) | 23.97% ( -1.25) |
Both teams to score 46.13% ( -3.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.33% ( -3.6) | 57.67% ( 3.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.57% ( -2.93) | 78.42% ( 2.93) |
The New Saints Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.56% ( -1.3) | 23.44% ( 1.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.55% ( -1.92) | 57.45% ( 1.92) |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.26% ( -3.13) | 39.74% ( 3.13) |