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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Apr 20, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside Stadium
Bala Town logo

Connah's Quay
2 - 0
Bala Town

Poole (86'), Horan (89')
Hunt (11'), Disney (56'), Morris (68'), Edwards (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Correia (27'), (82')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Bala Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBala Town
50.14%24.73%25.13%
Both teams to score 52.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.51%49.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.47%71.53%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25%19.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.21%51.79%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.8%34.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.1%70.9%
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 50.13%
    Bala Town 25.13%
    Draw 24.72%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBala Town
1-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 9.53%
2-0 @ 8.89%
3-1 @ 5.15%
3-0 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 2.77%
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 1.95%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 50.13%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 6.76%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 7.25%
1-2 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 3.89%
1-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 25.13%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Bala Town
1-3
Connah's Quay
Correia (1')
Spittle (34'), Smith (65'), Correia (76')
Spittle (90')
Horan (4'), Morris (67' pen.), Curran (85')
Poole (27'), Holmes (70'), Harrison (82')
Sep 12, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 1
Connah's Quay
1-1
Bala Town

(21')
Peate (22')
(5'), (44'), (70'), (89')
Apr 17, 2020 7.45pm
Mar 6, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Bala Town
2-2
Connah's Quay
Venables (7'), Smith (78')
(40'), (74')
Robles (88')
Wilde (3'), Insall (39')
Horan (63'), (78')
Dec 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Connah's Quay
2-1
Bala Town
Bakare (69', 77')
Owen (36'), Farquharson (49'), Morris (65'), Brass (94')
Spittle (5')
Leslie (53'), Robles (55'), Spittle (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510


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