Caernarfon

1 - 4

Haverfordwest

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.