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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Feb 26, 2022 at 12.45pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 2
Connah's Quay


Sears (20'), Williams (35'), Walker (44'), Roberts (83'), Hughes (89')
Sears (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morris (25' pen.), Curran (69')
Curran (22'), Poole (63')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
30.93%25.4%43.67%
Both teams to score 54.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.23%48.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.12%70.87%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56%29.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.56%65.43%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71%22.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.26%55.74%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 30.93%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 43.67%
    Draw 25.39%
Newtown AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 8.02%
2-1 @ 7.36%
2-0 @ 4.91%
3-1 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.25%
3-0 @ 2%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.93%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.56%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 9.85%
1-2 @ 9.04%
0-2 @ 7.39%
1-3 @ 4.52%
0-3 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 2.77%
1-4 @ 1.7%
0-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 43.67%

Head to Head
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Connah's Quay
0-2
Newtown

Eardley (43'), Morris (61'), Holmes (90')
Sutton (25'), Holmes (45+1' og.)
Williams (56'), Mwandwe (76')
Apr 2, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 22
Newtown
1-5
Connah's Quay
Breese (3')
Mills-Evans (69')
Curran (20'), Danns (64'), Morris (76' pen.), Wilde (85'), Insall (90')
Wilde (55'), Morris (67')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Connah's Quay
2-1
Newtown
Horan (28'), Wilde (59')
(19')
Insall (24')
Fletcher (15')
(61')
Apr 25, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Newtown
P-P
Connah's Quay
Mar 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Connah's Quay
P-P
Newtown
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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