Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Apr 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont0 - 2Newtown
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Newtown AFC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flint Town 1-1 Pen-y-Bont (3-1 pen.)
Saturday, May 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, May 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Cardiff MU | 33 | -4 | 42 |
8 | Pen-y-Bont | 33 | -8 | 41 |
9 | Aberystwyth Town | 32 | -7 | 40 |
Last Game: Flint Town 1-1 Newtown
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Connah's Quay Nomads | 33 | 14 | 53 |
4 | Newtown AFC | 32 | 15 | 51 |
5 | Caernarfon Town | 32 | 6 | 49 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
Result | ||
Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Newtown AFC |
33.63% | 25.54% | 40.83% |
Both teams to score 55.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.48% | 48.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.36% | 70.64% |
Pen-y-Bont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.43% | 27.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.91% | 63.08% |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.45% | 23.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.39% | 57.6% |
Score Analysis |
Pen-y-Bont 33.63%
Newtown AFC 40.83%
Draw 25.53%
Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Newtown AFC |
1-0 @ 8.37% 2-1 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 5.39% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.63% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.49% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 8.75% 0-2 @ 6.79% 1-3 @ 4.22% 0-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.52% 0-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.83% |
Head to Head
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Newtown
1-2
Pen-y-Bont
MacDonald (15'), Snaith (54')
Davies (30'), (90+1')
Davies (30'), (90+1')
Oct 9, 2021 2.30pm
Newtown
3-1
Pen-y-Bont
Watts (68')
D. Wood (38'), Harling (41'), Davies (43'), Jefferies (73')
D. Wood (38'), Harling (41'), Davies (43'), Jefferies (73')
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
May 23, 2021 12.15pm
Mar 2, 2021 8pm
Form Guide