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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ynysangharad Park
Newtown logo

Pontypridd
0 - 1
Newtown


Hunt (35'), Shepherd (62'), Cummings (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Robles (80')
Hughes (3'), Roberts (45+1'), Robles (89')
Roberts (84')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pontypridd United and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pontypridd Town AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-0 Pontypridd
Saturday, September 23 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-4 Newtown
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newtown AFC in this match.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawNewtown AFC
32.44% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 25.64% (0.0019999999999989 0) 41.92% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)49.28% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)71.34% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3%28.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48%64.52%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)23.35% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.69% (-0.012 -0.01)57.31% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pontypridd Town AFC 32.44%
    Newtown AFC 41.92%
    Draw 25.63%
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 8.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 2.3%
3-0 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 32.44%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 9.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 41.92%

Head to Head
Dec 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Newtown
4-2
Pontypridd
Robles (4', 40', 88'), Williams (15' pen.)
Ahmun (13', 90+1')
Oct 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Pontypridd
1-4
Newtown
Rees (55')
Robles (17', 43'), Williams (27' pen.), Cowans (78')
rhs 2.0
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