MX23RW : Wednesday, October 2 17:32:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 0
Aberystwyth


Ismail (33'), Sears (83'), Evans (90+3')
FT

Walsh (90+3'), Walsh (90+5')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Newtown
Friday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 4-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
50.16% (-0.346 -0.35) 23.79% (0.12 0.12) 26.05% (0.225 0.22)
Both teams to score 56.73% (-0.191 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.28% (-0.351 -0.35)44.72% (0.34999999999999 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.91% (-0.34 -0.34)67.08% (0.33799999999999 0.34)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1% (-0.265 -0.27)17.9% (0.264 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.3% (-0.456 -0.46)48.7% (0.454 0.45)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (-0.012 -0.01)30.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.81% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)67.19% (0.0089999999999861 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 50.16%
    Aberystwyth Town 26.05%
    Draw 23.79%
Newtown AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.19% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 50.16%
1-1 @ 11.17% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.53% (0.083 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.79%
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.82% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 26.05%

Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Newtown
6-1
Aberystwyth
Flint (14' og.), Williams (51' pen.), Aris (54', 63'), Rushton (56', 73')
Evans (80')
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Aberystwyth
1-2
Newtown
Evans (28')
Mills-Evans (30', 43')
Dec 10, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 16
Aberystwyth
2-4
Newtown
Phillips (51'), Davies (89')
Veale (22'), Jenkins (38')
Rushton (4', 18', 68'), Davies (76')
(77')
Sep 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Newtown
1-2
Aberystwyth
Roberts (50')
Mills-Evans (76'), Arsan (76'), Roberts (84')
Veale (36'), Evans (86')
Rimmer (5'), Phillips (41'), Evans (76'), Jones (77'), Davies (86')
May 15, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 6
Newtown
0-4
Aberystwyth

Steventon (23'), O'Neill (58'), McAllister (75')
Jones (23' pen.), Evans (47'), Jones (50'), Franklin (84')
Jenkins (37')
rhs 2.0
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