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Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 0
Aberystwyth


Ismail (33'), Sears (83'), Evans (90+3')
FT

Walsh (90+3'), Walsh (90+5')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Newtown
Friday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 4-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
50.16% (-0.346 -0.35) 23.79% (0.12 0.12) 26.05% (0.225 0.22)
Both teams to score 56.73% (-0.191 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.28% (-0.351 -0.35)44.72% (0.34999999999999 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.91% (-0.34 -0.34)67.08% (0.33799999999999 0.34)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1% (-0.265 -0.27)17.9% (0.264 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.3% (-0.456 -0.46)48.7% (0.454 0.45)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (-0.012 -0.01)30.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.81% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)67.19% (0.0089999999999861 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 50.16%
    Aberystwyth Town 26.05%
    Draw 23.79%
Newtown AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.19% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 50.16%
1-1 @ 11.17% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.53% (0.083 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.79%
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.82% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 26.05%

Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Newtown
6-1
Aberystwyth
Flint (14' og.), Williams (51' pen.), Aris (54', 63'), Rushton (56', 73')
Evans (80')
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Aberystwyth
1-2
Newtown
Evans (28')
Mills-Evans (30', 43')
Dec 10, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 16
Aberystwyth
2-4
Newtown
Phillips (51'), Davies (89')
Veale (22'), Jenkins (38')
Rushton (4', 18', 68'), Davies (76')
(77')
Sep 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Newtown
1-2
Aberystwyth
Roberts (50')
Mills-Evans (76'), Arsan (76'), Roberts (84')
Veale (36'), Evans (86')
Rimmer (5'), Phillips (41'), Evans (76'), Jones (77'), Davies (86')
May 15, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 6
Newtown
0-4
Aberystwyth

Steventon (23'), O'Neill (58'), McAllister (75')
Jones (23' pen.), Evans (47'), Jones (50'), Franklin (84')
Jenkins (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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