MX23RW : Wednesday, October 2 17:13:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 1
Cardiff MU

Sears (17'), Williams (31')
Cowans (84'), Roberts (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Craven (42')
Clubb (88'), McCarthy (90+3')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 3-1 Newtown
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-0 Cardiff MU
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
36.07% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 26.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 37.63% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.19% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.51% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)51.5% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.7% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)73.3% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)27.52% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)63.03% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38%26.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.15% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)61.85% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 36.07%
    Cardiff MU 37.63%
    Draw 26.31%
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 9.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.1% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 36.07%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.33% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.83% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 37.63%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Newtown
1-2
Cardiff MU
Jones (49')
Jones (54'), Evans (80' pen.)
Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Cardiff MU
0-0
Newtown
Dec 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Cardiff MU
2-1
Newtown
Evans (2'), Roberts (72')
Chubb (20' og.)
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Newtown
0-1
Cardiff MU
Rees (42')
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Newtown
0-0
Cardiff MU
Taylor (71'), Hughes (82')
Baker (66'), Craven (69'), Chubb (87'), Lewis (90')
rhs 2.0
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