MX23RW : Wednesday, October 2 17:41:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 0
Barry

Williams (1', 76')
Hughes (7'), Robles (68'), Sutton (69'), Sears (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McDonald (25'), Bright (43'), Press (82')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Barry Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 0-4 Newtown
Saturday, September 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Barry Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 1-4 Connah's Quay
Saturday, September 9 at 2.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawBarry Town United
45.72% (0.32 0.32) 25.01% (-0.035 -0.04) 29.27% (-0.282 -0.28)
Both teams to score 55.2% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)47.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.93% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)70.07% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.02% (0.14400000000001 0.14)20.98% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.25% (0.224 0.22)53.74% (-0.224 -0.22)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.86% (-0.193 -0.19)30.14% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.71% (-0.235 -0.23)66.29% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 45.72%
    Barry Town United 29.27%
    Draw 25.01%
Newtown AFCDrawBarry Town United
1-0 @ 9.88% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.71% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.01% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 45.72%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 7.58% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.55% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 29.27%

Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Newtown
2-1
Barry
Davies (59'), Hughes (62')
Mills-Evans (42'), Walker (55'), Hughes (61'), Roberts (90+2')
Cotterill (18')
Cotterill (30'), Patten (45+1'), Cummings (45+2'), McLaggon (77'), Green (90+4')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Barry
0-3
Newtown

Day (34'), Green (42'), Cotterill (90')
Williams (33' pen., 49', 66')
Roberts (40'), Mwandwe (76')
Nov 21, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Barry
0-0
Newtown
McDonald (14'), Bowen (30'), Wharton (31'), Cooper (83')
Oct 10, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Newtown
1-1
Barry
Davies (66')
(25'), (41'), (43'), (90+5')
McLaggon (90+4')
George (23'), McLaggon (34'), Cooper (45+3')
Apr 4, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 2
Newtown
P-P
Barry
rhs 2.0
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