MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 19:48:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
0 - 1
Pontypridd


Thorn (43'), Hogan (82'), Davies (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Davies (61')
Davies (45+3'), Rees (65'), Rees (65'), Margetson (75')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 0-0 Aberystwyth
Saturday, August 26 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Pontypridd Town AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-0 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Pontypridd Town AFC in this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawPontypridd Town AFC
31.97% (0.342 0.34) 25.31% (-0.055 -0.05) 42.71% (-0.287 -0.29)
Both teams to score 55.58% (0.325 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.99% (0.357 0.36)48.01% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.82% (0.328 0.33)70.18% (-0.33 -0.33)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (0.40000000000001 0.4)28.37% (-0.401 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (0.501 0.5)64.11% (-0.503 -0.5)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.59% (0.018000000000001 0.02)22.41% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.07% (0.025000000000006 0.03)55.93% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 31.97%
    Pontypridd Town AFC 42.71%
    Draw 25.31%
Aberystwyth TownDrawPontypridd Town AFC
1-0 @ 8.01% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.05% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 1% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.97%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.36% (-0.095 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.049 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 9.51% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-2 @ 8.96% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.11% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.47% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.55% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 42.71%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 7
Pontypridd
1-1
Aberystwyth
Davies (32')
Turner (90+6')
Nov 18, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 15
Aberystwyth
2-1
Pontypridd
Evans (4', 32')
Green (31')
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Pontypridd
2-1
Aberystwyth
Jones (26'), Ahmun (75')
Green (58')
Darlington (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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