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Women's Super League | Gameweek 18
Mar 30, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium

Aston Villa
2 - 2
Leicester Women

Leon (26'), Daly (75')
Corsie (16'), Lehmann (24'), Nobbs (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Momiki (28'), Tierney (56')
Pelgander (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Leicester Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-3 Arsenal Women
Sunday, March 24 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 2-3 Brighton Women
Sunday, March 24 at 3pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 2-1 Leicester Women

Aston Villa may have experienced disappointment last weekend, but they usually fare well in their meetings with Leicester. Having won all five of their WSL matches against the Foxes, we think that the Villans will continue that fine run by claiming a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Leicester Women had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Leicester Women win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawLeicester Women
46.1% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 22.28% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 31.62% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 66.33% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.14% (0.072000000000003 0.07)33.85% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.3% (0.080999999999996 0.08)55.7% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.71% (0.040999999999997 0.04)15.28% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56% (0.076999999999998 0.08)43.99% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3% (0.022000000000006 0.02)21.7% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.15% (0.034999999999997 0.03)54.85% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 46.1%
    Leicester Women 31.62%
    Draw 22.28%
Aston Villa WomenDrawLeicester Women
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.6% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.28% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.004 0)
4-3 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 46.1%
1-1 @ 9.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.83% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.28%
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 31.62%

Head to Head
Jan 19, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 11
Leicester Women
0-1
Aston Villa

Nevin (28')
Daly (16')
Pacheco (90+9')
Mar 26, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 16
Aston Villa
5-0
Leicester Women
Dali (6'), Lehmann (35', 71'), Daly (45', 55')
Sep 25, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Leicester Women
0-2
Aston Villa
Daly (3' pen.), Gielnik (86')
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 13
Leicester Women
1-2
Aston Villa
Hampton (76' og.)
Purfield (4' og.), Lehmann (90+3')
Hayles (31'), Hampton (77')
Sep 4, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
Aston Villa
2-1
Leicester Women
Mayling (63'), Allen (64')
Hutton (36'), Asante (59')
Jane Flint (39')
Tierney (68'), McManus (82'), Brougham (84')
rhs 2.0
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