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Women's Super League | Gameweek 12
Jan 28, 2024 at 12pm UK
Old Trafford

Man Utd Women
2 - 1
Aston Villa

Parris (7', 33')
Riviere (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Daly (60' pen.)
Lehmann (17'), Leon (73'), Patten (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester United Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-1 Man Utd Women
Sunday, January 21 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 0-1 Aston Villa
Friday, January 19 at 7pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester United Women 2-1 Aston Villa Women

Man United Women may have experienced a couple of disappointing results, but they have won each of their last three meetings with Aston Villa, and we think that they will continue that run by claiming a narrow victory on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.74%) and 3-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester United Women in this match.

Result
Manchester United WomenDrawAston Villa Women
62.16% (0.322 0.32) 19% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 18.84% (-0.263 -0.26)
Both teams to score 63.83% (-0.28 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.07% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)30.93% (0.144 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.69% (-0.17 -0.17)52.31% (0.171 0.17)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.34% (0.034999999999997 0.03)9.66% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.76% (0.082999999999998 0.08)32.24% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65% (-0.33699999999999 -0.34)29.34% (0.337 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.67% (-0.416 -0.42)65.32% (0.416 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Women 62.16%
    Aston Villa Women 18.84%
    Draw 19%
Manchester United WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.085 0.09)
3-1 @ 7.4% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.63% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 6.03% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.53% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.32% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.52% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.02% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.65% (0.025 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
4-3 @ 1.08% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 62.16%
1-1 @ 8.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.84% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 19%
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 18.84%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
Aston Villa
1-2
Man Utd Women
Daly (76')
Parker (14'), Corsie (26'), Leon (83')
Hanson (74')
Garcia (79'), Deman (90+2')
Ferreira (33'), Toone (43'), Garcia (90+10')
Apr 28, 2023 7.15pm
Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
2-3
Man Utd Women
Daly (9', 37')
Galton (15'), Parris (62'), Turner (90+3')
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Man Utd Women
5-0
Aston Villa
Zelem (13'), Galton (28'), Russo (51'), Batlle (76'), Deman (90+3')
Apr 24, 2022 6pm
Dec 19, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 10
Man Utd Women
5-0
Aston Villa
Toone (8', 79'), Zelem (13' pen.), Staniforth (50'), Thomas (73')
Hanson (76'), Ladd (90+1')

Littlejohn (52'), Mayling (81'), Boye-Hlorkah (87')
rhs 2.0
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