Man Utd Women2 - 1Aston Villa
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, January 21 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
for
Friday, January 19 at 7pm in Women's Super League
for
We said: Manchester United Women 2-1 Aston Villa Women
Man United Women may have experienced a couple of disappointing results, but they have won each of their last three meetings with Aston Villa, and we think that they will continue that run by claiming a narrow victory on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.74%) and 3-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester United Women in this match.
Result | ||
Manchester United Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
62.16% ( 0.32) | 19% ( -0.06) | 18.84% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 63.83% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.07% ( -0.14) | 30.93% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.69% ( -0.17) | 52.31% ( 0.17) |
Manchester United Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.34% ( 0.03) | 9.66% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.76% ( 0.08) | 32.24% ( -0.08) |
Aston Villa Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.65% ( -0.34) | 29.34% ( 0.34) |