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Women's Super League | Gameweek 6
Nov 12, 2023 at 6.45pm UK
King Power Stadium

Leicester Women
2 - 6
Arsenal Women

Tierney (36'), Cayman (38')
Cayman (45+4'), Tierney (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lacasse (49'), Russo (52'), Foord (58'), Pelova (61'), Blackstenius (75'), Hurtig (90+8')
Lacasse (45+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Leicester Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool Women 2-1 Leicester Women
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 2-1 Man City Women
Sunday, November 5 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Leicester Women 0-2 Arsenal Women

Although we expect Sunday's contest to be much closer than Leicester's last two home meetings with Arsenal, we still expect the in-form visitors to leave with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 76.12%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 9.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 2-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Leicester WomenDrawArsenal Women
9.14% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 14.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01) 76.12% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.15% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.35%33.65% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.53% (0.0010000000000048 0)55.46% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.19% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)44.8% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.22% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)80.78% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.67% (0.007000000000005 0.01)7.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.53% (0.015999999999991 0.02)26.46% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leicester Women 9.14%
    Arsenal Women 76.11%
    Draw 14.74%
Leicester WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 2.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-0 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 9.14%
1-1 @ 6.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.28%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 14.74%
0-2 @ 11.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 9.77% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 7.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 6.39% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 5.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-5 @ 3.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 2.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 2.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-6 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
1-6 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-5 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 76.11%

Head to Head
May 5, 2023 7.30pm
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Apr 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 19
Leicester Women
0-5
Arsenal Women

Tierney (38'), O'Brien (57')
Mead (2'), Miedema (67', 75'), Plumptre (79' og.), Heath (83')
Wubben-Moy (12'), McCabe (15')
Dec 12, 2021 6.45pm
Gameweek 9
Arsenal Women
4-0
Leicester Women
Nobbs (22'), Miedema (34'), Maanum (81', 83')
Sigsworth (3'), O'Brien (6'), Tierney (82'), Plumptre (86'), Nobbs (90+3')
Purfield (43')
rhs 2.0
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