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Women's Super League | Gameweek 22
May 27, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 

Arsenal Women
0 - 2
Aston Villa


Taylor (32'), McCabe (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Daly (45+2'), Lehmann (49')
Magill (70'), Allen (77'), Hampton (85'), Hanson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 2-0 Arsenal Women
Sunday, May 21 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-3 Liverpool Women
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Arsenal Women 2-1 Aston Villa Women

 Arsenal have lost just one of their 10 home league games this season, and we think that they will edge out Aston Villa to record a fifth consecutive home victory in the WSL. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 15.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawAston Villa Women
65.74% (0.907 0.91) 18.68% (-0.21 -0.21) 15.57% (-0.7 -0.7)
Both teams to score 57.67% (-0.935 -0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.39% (-0.42699999999999 -0.43)35.6% (0.424 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.34% (-0.473 -0.47)57.66% (0.471 0.47)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.88% (0.101 0.1)10.12% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.7% (0.23400000000001 0.23)33.3% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16% (-1.114 -1.11)35.83% (1.111 1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39% (-1.161 -1.16)72.61% (1.158 1.16)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 65.74%
    Aston Villa Women 15.57%
    Draw 18.68%
Arsenal WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 9.51% (0.284 0.28)
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.212 0.21)
3-1 @ 7.46% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.27% (0.248 0.25)
4-1 @ 4.27% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.16% (0.159 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-2 @ 2.19% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.96% (0.026 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.91% (0.081 0.08)
5-2 @ 1% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 65.74%
1-1 @ 8.52% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-0 @ 3.63% (0.077 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 18.68%
1-2 @ 4.37% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-1 @ 3.72% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.91% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 15.57%

Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 4.15pm
gameweek 10
Aston Villa
1-4
Arsenal Women
Hanson (6')
Turner (38')
Corsie (26' og.), Miedema (30'), McCabe (62'), Nobbs (84')
May 1, 2022 2.15pm
gameweek 21
Arsenal Women
7-0
Aston Villa
Miedema (9', 13'), Corsie (52' og.), Mead (61'), Wubben-Moy (66'), Blackstenius (83'), Parris (90' pen.)
Foord (90+1')

Petzelberger (54')
Oct 2, 2021 5.15pm
gameweek 4
Aston Villa
0-4
Arsenal Women

Pacheco (57')
Little (51', 90+2'), Iwabuchi (80'), McCabe (83')
May 9, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 14
Arsenal Women
0-0
Aston Villa
Feb 28, 2021 2pm
gameweek 8
Aston Villa
0-4
Arsenal Women

Hanssen (85')
Miedema (58'), Nobbs (67'), McCabe (73'), Evans (88')
rhs 2.0
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