Women's Super League | Gameweek 5
Nov 5, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Colney Training Centre
Arsenal Women2 - 1Man City Women
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bristol Women 1-2 Arsenal Women
Sunday, October 22 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Sunday, October 22 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 0-1 Man City Women
Saturday, October 21 at 5.15pm in Women's Super League
Saturday, October 21 at 5.15pm in Women's Super League
We said: Arsenal Women 1-1 Manchester City Women
Arsenal will be desperate to close the three-point gap to Man City this weekend, but with the Citizens proving to be a tough team to beat, we think that the hosts will have to settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arsenal Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
30.35% ( -0.05) | 24.81% ( -0) | 44.84% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 56.5% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.53% ( -0.02) | 46.46% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.25% ( -0.02) | 68.74% ( 0.01) |
Arsenal Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.32% ( -0.05) | 28.67% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.5% ( -0.06) | 64.49% ( 0.05) |
Manchester City Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.21% ( 0.02) | 20.78% ( -0.02) |