We said: Tottenham Hotspur Ladies 1-2 Manchester United Women
While Tottenham may be unbeaten in six home league games, their confidence would have taken a significant hit following the heavy 7-0 defeat to Manchester City before the international break.
Man United, meanwhile, have won three of their four away league games this season, and we think that they will draw upon those results to claim a narrow victory on Sunday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur Ladies had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win was 1-0 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.