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Women's Super League | Gameweek 9
Dec 8, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Chigwell Construction Stadium

West Ham
5 - 2
Crystal Palace

Asseyi (17'), Piubel (36'), Pavi Sepulveda (44'), Denton (82'), Gorry (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Gejl (5'), Riley (11')
Stengel (31'), Riley (55'), Potter (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between West Ham United Women and Crystal Palace Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 3-2 West Ham
Saturday, November 16 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-2 Crystal Palace
Sunday, November 17 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: West Ham United Women 1-1 Crystal Palace Women

With the two relegation-threatened sides currently on five points, we think there will be little to choose between them in Sunday's WSL clash, and we believe they could produce a cagey contest where the spoils are eventually shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United Women win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Crystal Palace Women had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Women win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United Women would win this match.

Result
West Ham United WomenDrawCrystal Palace Women
38.9% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 25.25%35.86% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.8% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.14% (0.013999999999996 0.01)46.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.89% (0.013999999999999 0.01)69.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
West Ham United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.2% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)23.8% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.04% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)57.96% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Crystal Palace Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (0.036000000000001 0.04)25.45% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72% (0.046000000000006 0.05)60.28% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United Women 38.9%
    Crystal Palace Women 35.86%
    Draw 25.24%
West Ham United WomenDrawCrystal Palace Women
1-0 @ 8.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.99% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.9%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 8.29% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.59% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.86%

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