MX23RW : Wednesday, November 27 12:18:05| >> :60:296:296:
China national football team
Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 28, 2023 at 12pm UK
Coopers Stadium
Haiti national football team

China PR Women
1 - 0
Haiti Women

Wang (74' pen.)
Zhang (29')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Melchie Dumornay (63'), Delepine (90+13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Women's World Cup clash between China PR Women and Haiti Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Denmark Women 1-0 China PR Women
Saturday, July 22 at 1pm in Women's World Cup
All competitions
Last Game: England Women 1-0 Haiti Women
Saturday, July 22 at 10.30am in Women's World Cup

We said: China PR Women 1-2 Haiti Women

With both desperate to claim three points, we expect Friday's contest to be filled with tension, but we think that Haiti could utilise the quality of players like Dumornay to claim a narrow win over China. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China PR Women win with a probability of 68.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Haiti Women had a probability of 13.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a China PR Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Haiti Women win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that China PR Women would win this match.

Result
China PR WomenDrawHaiti Women
68.26% (-0.259 -0.26) 18.64% (0.153 0.15) 13.1% (0.105 0.11)
Both teams to score 50.97% (-0.232 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.95% (-0.461 -0.46)41.05% (0.458 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.56% (-0.472 -0.47)63.44% (0.469 0.47)
China PR Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.99% (-0.196 -0.2)11% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.71% (-0.435 -0.44)35.29% (0.432 0.43)
Haiti Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.27% (-0.135 -0.13)42.72% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.94% (-0.116 -0.12)79.06% (0.113 0.11)
Score Analysis
    China PR Women 68.25%
    Haiti Women 13.1%
    Draw 18.64%
China PR WomenDrawHaiti Women
2-0 @ 11.44% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 10.37% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.42% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.16% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.65% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.95% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.05% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 4%
Total : 68.25%
1-1 @ 8.82% (0.081 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 18.64%
0-1 @ 4% (0.069 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.75% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.7% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 13.1%

How you voted: China PR Women vs Haiti Women

China PR Women
55.2%
Draw
16.4%
Haiti Women
28.4%
67
rhs 2.0
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