World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
Belgium3 - 1Wales
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The Match
Match Report
The world's number one team showed their class after falling behind to Harry Wilson's early strike.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup 2022 qualifier between Belgium and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Wales had a probability of 15.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belgium | Draw | Wales |
| 62.82% | 22.02% | 15.16% |
| Both teams to score 45.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.83% | 51.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.99% | 73.01% |
| Belgium Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.27% | 15.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.17% | 44.82% |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.04% | 45.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.31% | 81.69% |
| Score Analysis |
Belgium 62.81%
Wales 15.16%
Draw 22.01%
| Belgium | Draw | Wales |
| 1-0 @ 13.37% 2-0 @ 12.36% 2-1 @ 9.61% 3-0 @ 7.62% 3-1 @ 5.93% 4-0 @ 3.53% 4-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.3% 5-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.07% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.96% Total : 62.81% | 1-1 @ 10.39% 0-0 @ 7.23% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.65% Total : 22.01% | 0-1 @ 5.62% 1-2 @ 4.04% 0-2 @ 2.19% 1-3 @ 1.05% 2-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.3% Total : 15.16% |
Head to Head
Jul 1, 2016 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Wales
3-1
Belgium
Jun 12, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Wales
1-0
Belgium
Nov 16, 2014 5pm
Qualifiers
Belgium
0-0
Wales
Oct 15, 2013 8pm
Qualifiers
Belgium
1-1
Wales
Sep 7, 2012 7.45pm
