Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.