World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Municipal
Chad0 - 3Madagascar
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mali 3-1 Chad
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Ghana 1-0 Madagascar
Friday, November 17 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Friday, November 17 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
We said: Chad 0-1 Madagascar
Both teams have struggled on the offensive end of late, and we can see Monday's game yielding more of the same. That said, we are backing Madagascar to emerge victorious in the end, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 85%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Chad had a probability of 4.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.79%) and 0-1 (10.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.09%), while for a Chad win it was 1-0 (1.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Madagascar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chad | Draw | Madagascar |
4.11% ( -0.02) | 10.89% ( -0.03) | 85% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 35.58% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.26% ( 0.05) | 36.74% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.1% ( 0.06) | 58.9% ( -0.06) |
| Chad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 37.93% ( -0.03) | 62.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 8.33% ( -0.02) | 91.68% ( 0.02) |
| Madagascar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.82% ( 0.02) | 6.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 76.62% ( 0.06) | 23.38% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Chad 4.11%
Madagascar 84.98%
Draw 10.89%
| Chad | Draw | Madagascar |
| 1-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.07% Total : 4.11% | 1-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 1.69% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 10.89% | 0-2 @ 14.86% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 13.79% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 9.6% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.58% ( -0)0-5 @ 5.35% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 4.58% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.55% ( 0)0-6 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0)1-6 @ 1.18% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)0-7 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 84.98% |
How you voted: Chad vs Madagascar
Chad
20.7%Draw
20.7%Madagascar
58.6%29
