We said: Chad 0-1 Madagascar
Both teams have struggled on the offensive end of late, and we can see Monday's game yielding more of the same. That said, we are backing Madagascar to emerge victorious in the end, albeit by only a narrow margin.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 85%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Chad had a probability of 4.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.79%) and 0-1 (10.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.09%), while for a Chad win it was 1-0 (1.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Madagascar would win this match.