Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Madagascar and Benin.
Form, Standings, Stats
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mauritania 2-1 Madagascar
Saturday, October 14 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Saturday, October 14 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
International Friendlies
Last Game: Sierra Leone 1-1 Benin
Saturday, October 14 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Saturday, October 14 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Benin | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Benin had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Benin win was 0-1 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Madagascar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Madagascar | Draw | Benin |
38.01% ( 0.07) | 28.75% ( -0.45) | 33.24% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 45.39% ( 1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
