World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 17, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stade 26 Mars

Mali
3 - 1
Chad

Doumbia (45'), Niakate (77'), Sissoko (81')
Haidara (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mouandilmadji (53')
Ngartolabaye (64'), Abdallah (74')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Mali and Chad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mali

All competitions

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-3 Mali
Tuesday, October 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Tunisia	0	0	0
2	Mali	0	0	0
3	South Africa	0	0	0
4	Namibia	0	0	0

Chad

Last Game: Chad 0-1 Sudan
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Mali have been imperious on home turf over the last couple of matches, and they will be heavily fancied to come out on top here. We can see them coming away with maximum points from what should be a largely one-sided affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 95.85%. A draw had a probability of 3.7% and a win for Chad had a probability of 0.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 3-0 with a probability of 17.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (16.4%) and 2-0 (14.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.17%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (0.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Mali in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mali.

Result
Mali	Draw	Chad
95.85% ( -1.33)	3.65% ( 1.04)	0.5% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 14.44% (

5.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.58% (

-2.27)

26.42% (

2.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.24% (

-2.95)

46.75% (

2.94)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.44% (

-0.5)

2.55% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

88.09% (

-1.87)

11.91% (

1.87)

Chad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

14.82% (

6.03)

85.17% (

-6.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

1.15% (

0.75)

98.84% (

-0.76)

Score Analysis

Mali 95.84%

Chad 0.5%

Draw 3.65%

Mali	Draw	Chad
3-0 @ 17.88% ( -0.43) 4-0 @ 16.4% ( -1.38) 2-0 @ 14.62% ( 0.48) 5-0 @ 12.03% ( -1.79) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.69) 6-0 @ 7.36% ( -1.59) 7-0 @ 3.86% ( -1.11) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 1.18) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 1) 2-1 @ 2.35% ( 1.04) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.66) 8-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.64) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.36) Other @ 3% Total : 95.84%	0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.3) 1-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.61) Other @ 0.2% Total : 3.65%	Other @ 0.5% Total : 0.5%