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Central African Republic national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 27, 2023 at 2pm UK
 
Madagascar national football team

CAR
2 - 0
Madagascar

Mafouta (40', 82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Central African Republic and Madagascar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Madagascar 0-3 CAR
Thursday, March 23 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Madagascar 0-3 CAR
Thursday, March 23 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 62.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 12.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.06%) and 1-2 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.17%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 1-0 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Central African RepublicDrawMadagascar
12.31% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 24.72% (0.126 0.13) 62.97% (-0.194 -0.19)
Both teams to score 32.73% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.19% (-0.245 -0.24)64.81% (0.247 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.24% (-0.173 -0.17)83.76% (0.176 0.18)
Central African Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.3% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)58.7% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.03% (-0.013 -0.01)89.97% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)20.74% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.63% (-0.28 -0.28)53.37% (0.283 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Central African Republic 12.31%
    Madagascar 62.96%
    Draw 24.72%
Central African RepublicDrawMadagascar
1-0 @ 6.49% (0.052 0.05)
2-1 @ 2.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 1.73% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 12.31%
0-0 @ 12.17% (0.11 0.11)
1-1 @ 10.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 19.15% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 15.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 7.9% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.21% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.11% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.98% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 62.96%

How you voted: CAR vs Madagascar

Central African Republic
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Madagascar
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2023 1pm
Madagascar
0-3
CAR

Martin Rakotonirina (63')
Ngoma (36'), Mafouta (45', 79')
Ato-Zandanga (34'), Freeman Niamathe (51'), Toropite (71')
rhs 2.0
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