World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 7, 2021 at 6pm UK
Guangxi Sports Center
China3 - 2Vietnam
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tai Ho (80'), Linh Nguyen (90')
Truong Luong (66')
Truong Luong (66')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Vietnam had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a China win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Vietnam win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that China would win this match.
| Result | ||
| China | Draw | Vietnam |
| 49.65% | 24.67% | 25.68% |
| Both teams to score 53.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.19% | 48.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.09% | 70.9% |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.31% | 19.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.32% | 51.68% |
| Vietnam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.63% | 33.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30% | 70% |
| Score Analysis |
China 49.64%
Vietnam 25.68%
Draw 24.66%
| China | Draw | Vietnam |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 8.68% 3-1 @ 5.16% 3-0 @ 4.7% 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.92% Total : 49.64% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.21% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 3.96% 1-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.91% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.68% |
How you voted: China vs Vietnam
China
70.5%Draw
8.0%Vietnam
21.4%112
