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Congo national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 23, 2025 at 11pm UK
 
Zambia national football team

Congo
P-P
Zambia

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Congo and Zambia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Congo 0-1 Uganda
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Sierra Leone 0-2 Zambia
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Congo had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Congo win it was 1-0 (9.37%).

Result
CongoDrawZambia
21.85% (0.414 0.41) 28.23% (0.684 0.68) 49.92% (-1.095 -1.1)
Both teams to score 40.05% (-1.148 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.63% (-1.725 -1.73)64.37% (1.727 1.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.55% (-1.239 -1.24)83.45% (1.241 1.24)
Congo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.26% (-0.583 -0.58)45.73% (0.58499999999999 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.49% (-0.459 -0.46)81.51% (0.45999999999999 0.46)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81% (-1.308 -1.31)26.19% (1.31 1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.72% (-1.787 -1.79)61.28% (1.788 1.79)
Score Analysis
    Congo 21.85%
    Zambia 49.91%
    Draw 28.22%
CongoDrawZambia
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.438 0.44)
2-1 @ 4.91% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.67% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 1.28% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 0.96% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 21.85%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 11.97% (0.74 0.74)
2-2 @ 3.29% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 28.22%
0-1 @ 16.04% (0.42 0.42)
0-2 @ 10.75% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.233 -0.23)
0-3 @ 4.8% (-0.238 -0.24)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-4 @ 1.61% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 49.91%

Head to Head
Nov 17, 2023 4pm
Group Stage
Zambia
4-2
Congo
Daka (5', 90+2'), Banda (43'), Sakala (69')
Ganvoula (13'), Bassouamina (15')
Mar 25, 2022 1pm
International Friendly
Zambia
3-1
Congo
Mwepu (20' pen.), Kangwa (24'), Musonda (64')
Mbenza (34' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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