Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Alphonse Massamba-Debat
Congo0 - 1Uganda
FT(HT: 0-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: South Sudan 3-2 Congo
Thursday, November 14 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, November 14 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Angola | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Cameroon | 3 | -2 | 1 |
We said: Congo 1-1 Uganda
While Uganda have been the better team in this qualifying campaign, they are likely to make some changes to their starting XI, which might lower their level, and coupled with their poor history away at Congo, we think they might struggle to secure a win here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 54.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Congo had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Congo win it was 1-0 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Uganda in this match.
| Result | ||
| Congo | Draw | Uganda |
19.96% ( 0.24) | 25.81% ( 0.12) | 54.23% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 43.67% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
