World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade d'Agadir
Morocco2 - 1Zambia
Ziyech (6' pen.), Ben Seghir (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Morocco 0-0 Mauritania
Tuesday, March 26 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 26 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
We said: Morocco 2-0 Zambia
Given the superior match-winning quality available to Regragui, Morocco should make the most of playing in front of their supporters to record maximum points at Zambia's expense and pull clear of the Copper Bullets in Group E. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 18.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
Result | ||
Morocco | Draw | Zambia |
55.87% ( -0.16) | 25.97% ( 0.09) | 18.16% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 40.72% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.16% ( -0.2) | 60.84% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.13% ( -0.15) | 80.87% ( 0.15) |
Morocco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.04% ( -0.15) | 21.96% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.75% ( -0.23) | 55.25% ( 0.23) |
Zambia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.18% ( -0.03) | 47.82% ( 0.03) |