Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex
Sierra Leone0 - 2Zambia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chad 1-1 Sierra Leone
Wednesday, November 13 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Wednesday, November 13 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
We said: Sierra Leone 1-2 Zambia
With their fate already sealed, Tuesday's game is a dead rubber for Sierra Leone, while Zambia will be aiming to beat Ivory Coast to first place in the table. The Chipolopolo boast a significantly superior squad on paper and we fancy them to close out the qualifying campaign on a high. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Sierra Leone win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sierra Leone | Draw | Zambia |
26.66% ( 0.4) | 26.56% ( 0.58) | 46.78% ( -0.98) |
| Both teams to score 48.63% ( -1.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
